Wednesday, May 29, 2024

Borussia Dortmund vs PSG predictions: Champions League tips and odds

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Our betting expert has three Borussia Dortmund vs PSG tips for Wednesday’s Champions League semi-final, first leg at Signal Iduna Park (kick-off, 8pm BST). Scroll down for the analysis behind his selections.

Borussia Dortmund v PSG betting tips

Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

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Goal rush in store in Dortmund

Both Dortmund and PSG were involved in high-scoring Champions League quarter-finals – winning 5-4 and 6-4 on aggregate respectively – and their semi-final tussle could also be full of goals.

Dortmund overturned a 2-1 deficit from the first leg to win the second 4-2 against Atletico Madrid, and PSG recovered from a 3-2 home defeat by Barcelona to win 4-1 in Catalonia.

Three of those four matches featured over 3.5 goals and each of PSG’s last five matches have also featured at least four goals, generating a total of 26.

The atmosphere in front of the ‘Yellow Wall’ at Signal Iduna Park can be electrifying on a European night, so expect fireworks on the pitch.

Dortmund are dangerous going forward but their 4-1 hammering by RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga on Saturday showed that they are potentially weak at the back.

Indeed, both teams have scored in each of Dortmund’s last five fixtures and they will know the importance of pushing for the win in the home leg of this tie. Expect goals to rain down in Dortmund and back over 3.5 goals.

Borussia Dortmund vs PSG tip 1: Over 3.5 goals @ 6/5 with Paddy Power

PSG to edge first leg

The goals angle is the better one to follow in this fixture but in terms of a match result, there could still be a bit of value in backing PSG to win.

Dortmund can be a tough nut to crack at home but that loss to Leipzig on Saturday proves that they can be vulnerable at times.

PSG, meanwhile, are hitting form at the perfect time, having reeled off 4-1 wins over Barcelona, Lyon and Lorient prior to their draw with Le Havre at the weekend.

They took four points off Dortmund in the group stage of the competition and can prevail here, with the hosts having won only two of their previous six games in all competitions.

Borussia Dortmund vs PSG tip 2: PSG to win @ 29/20 with Paddy Power

Mbappe can make mark again

Luis Enrique made the decision to rest Kylian Mbappe for the draw with Le Havre at the weekend and the France forward will be eager to make an impact upon his return on Tuesday.

Mbappe is a game-changer in this kind of match and goes into the semi-finals as the leading scorer in this season’s Champions League with eight goals.

Back him to find the net against a leaky Dortmund outfit who will struggle to handle his pace.

Borussia Dortmund vs PSG tip 3: Kylian Mbappe to score @ 11/10 with Paddy Power

Borussia Dortmund vs PSG odds

Odds, correct at the time of publication, are subject to change.

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Borussia Dortmund team news

Mats Hummels is expected to be fit for the first leg despite being forced off with a knock on Saturday. Donyell Malen is unlikely to recover in time for the fixture and forward Sebastian Haller is also out.

Borussia Dortmund predicted line-up (4-2-3-1): Kobel; Ryerson, Hummels, Schlotterbeck, Maatsen; Can, Sabitzer; Adeyemi, Brandt, Sancho; Fullkrug.

PSG team news

Presnel Kimpembe is nearing a return to full fitness, however this match comes too soon for the French defender. Ousmane Dembele should start once again.

PSG predicted line-up (4-3-3): Donnarumma; Hakimi, Marquinhos, Hernandez, Mendes; Ruiz, Vitinha, Zaire-Emery; Dembele, Mbappe, Barcola.

Last six results

Borussia Dortmund

27 Apr BL RB Leipzig 4 Dortmund 1 L

21 Apr BL Dortmund 1 Leverkusen 1 D

16 Apr CL Dortmund 4 A Madrid 2 W

13 Apr BL Monchengladbach 1 Dortmund 2 W

10 Apr CL A Madrid 2 Dortmund 1 L

6 Apr BL Dortmund 0 Stuttgart 1 L

PSG

27 Apr L1 PSG 3 Le Havre 3 D

24 Apr L1 Lorient 1 PSG 4 W

21 Apr L1 PSG 4 Lyon 1 W

16 Apr CL Barcelona 1 PSG 4 W

10 Apr CL PSG 2 Barcelona 3 L

6 Apr L1 PSG 1 Clermont 1 D

BL Bundesliga L1 Ligue 1 CL Champions League

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